Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.023144 0.024979 0.026892 0.029037 0.031375 0.033850 0.036670
2025-11-23 0.020102 0.022731 0.025617 0.029028 0.032958 0.037355 0.042661
2025-11-30 0.017970 0.021028 0.024517 0.028806 0.033957 0.039969 0.047553
2025-12-07 0.016423 0.019754 0.023674 0.028651 0.034834 0.042308 0.052091
2025-12-14 0.015154 0.018658 0.022891 0.028414 0.035481 0.044285 0.056189
2025-12-21 0.014236 0.017895 0.022419 0.028470 0.036420 0.046601 0.060778
2025-12-28 0.013354 0.017099 0.021827 0.028292 0.036989 0.048410 0.064748
2026-01-04 0.012641 0.016461 0.021380 0.028244 0.037686 0.050378 0.068999
2026-01-11 0.012070 0.015970 0.021081 0.028353 0.038568 0.052606 0.073707
2026-01-18 0.011534 0.015487 0.020755 0.028387 0.039320 0.054663 0.078262
2026-01-25 0.011106 0.015123 0.020563 0.028581 0.040286 0.057048 0.083411
2026-02-01 0.010529 0.014518 0.019999 0.028203 0.040387 0.058158 0.086681
2026-02-08 0.009928 0.013869 0.019366 0.027728 0.040371 0.059169 0.089998
2026-02-15 0.009490 0.013433 0.019017 0.027653 0.040952 0.061122 0.094941
2026-02-22 0.009045 0.012963 0.018591 0.027432 0.041284 0.062693 0.099358
2026-03-01 0.008656 0.012554 0.018230 0.027283 0.041708 0.064413 0.104111
2026-03-08 0.008277 0.012140 0.017839 0.027059 0.041987 0.065900 0.108552
2026-03-15 0.007996 0.011860 0.017635 0.027112 0.042706 0.068131 0.114400
2026-03-22 0.007680 0.011511 0.017305 0.026943 0.043042 0.069730 0.119231
2026-03-29 0.007415 0.011227 0.017063 0.026898 0.043574 0.071678 0.124804
2026-04-05 0.007199 0.011012 0.016917 0.027001 0.044354 0.074087 0.131374
2026-04-12 0.006982 0.010783 0.016737 0.027033 0.045008 0.076302 0.137723
2026-04-19 0.006808 0.010617 0.016651 0.027216 0.045929 0.079035 0.145240